Do your own homework: Fermi problem

This is not an Enrico Fermi problem, but somehow close to it (or inspired by).

Would you be really interested to know the impact a phenomenon like COVID-19 may have in a country's life?

Play with numbers a little bit:

1) Write down the entire population of a country: A

2) Assess the percentage of people would be expected to be in contact with the virus, and infected: 40%, for instance

3) Assume a 3% mortality rate in relation to the number of people that were infected

4) Do the following product:

Total death number = A * 0.4 * 0.03

Do you think this is not serious enough?